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books lifecycle events; it is not continuous daily mark-to-market equity.","SPY and QQQ benchmarks are split-adjusted IEX price returns and exclude dividends, fees, slippage, and taxes.","The sample includes both V13.5 regime labels, but booked-equity performance was negative across downtrend-labeled sessions; individual drawdown episodes still show less severe declines than QQQ.","Observed drawdown resilience is not proof of future bull/bear survival."],"method":{"benchmarks":"Buy and hold from the prior-session close, using split-adjusted Alpaca IEX session closes; price-only, no dividends or fees.","regime":"Exact V13.5 signal: prior QQQ close above its prior 50-session simple moving average is UPTREND; otherwise DOWNTREND.","v13_5":"Frozen booked-equity proxy; open positions are not continuously marked to 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